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T20 World Cup 2024, AUS vs IND 51st Match, Super Eights, Group 1 Match Preview

Game details

Australia vs India
St Lucia, June 24, 10.30am local time

Big picture: Threat of rain in St Lucia

This Australia-India episode was always going to be bitter, because, well, it’s Australia-India, and because it’s November 19 and all that. But now, after the events of June 22, there is more riding on it. Group 1 of the Super Eight in the 2024 T20 World Cup is now open in exciting fashion.

This is not a must-win game for either team, but Australia will be on thin ice if they lose. And while India’s net run rate gives them a decent safety net, there is still a chance they could lose out in the semi-finals.

It’s Australia-India, then, and the stakes are as high as they can be. What more could a cricket fan ask for? However, there is one thing: the weather in St Lucia is not encouraging at all.

A wash would suit India, sealing a place in the semi-finals, but for Australia the difference between two points and one could be sweet. They know this well, they have been attacked by this difference in international competition not long ago.

Form guide

Australia LWWWW (last five T20Is completed, most recent first)
India WWWWW

In light – Marsh and Arshdeep

This has not been the best World Cup Mitchell Marsh, with six innings bringing him just 88 runs at an average of 17.60 and a strike rate of 111.39. Conditions in the West Indies have not always been in favor of Australia’s stroke play captain, but a return to St Lucia, where he scored the most goals in the tournament, could help him return to form.

Arshdeep Singh he is India’s leading wicket-taker in this World Cup with 12 wickets at one in 10 balls, but he has also been their only regular bowler with an economy rate north of 7. He has looked impressive when the ball is swinging, but he has also looked inconsistent with his height at times, which he will want to watch out for on Monday given the opposition and possible situations.

Team news: Starc in or out?

Australia played an extra spinner against Afghanistan, bringing in Ashton Agar and leaving out Mitchell Starc. They can continue with that combination – Agar featured in their last one game in St Lucia, against Scotland – especially Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli who are not too fond of facing the left arm in the powerplay, but given the nature of this tournament, will they continue to leave one of the most tried and tested game winners?

Australia (probable): 1 Travis Head, 2 David Warner, 3 Mitchell Marsh (capt), 4 Glenn Maxwell, 5 Marcus Stoinis, 6 Tim David, 7 Matthew Wade (wk), 8 Pat Cummins, 9 Mitchell Starc/Ashton Agar, 10 Adam Zampa, 11 Josh Hazlewood.

It looks like India won’t be singing with their 3-3 bowling combination (with Hardik Pandya as one of their three seamers), but their left-arm spinners may come under pressure if Travis Head or David Warner hit the middle overs.

India (probable): 1 Rohit Sharma (capt), 2 Virat Kohli, 3 Rishabh Pant (wk), 4 Suryakumar Yadav, 5 Shivam Dube, 6 Hardik Pandya, 7 Axar Patel, 8 Ravindra Jadeja, 9 Arshdeep Singh, 10 Kuldeep Yadav, 11 Jasprit Bumrah.

Tone and mood: The pace is forward, continuous

There is a high chance of rain in St Lucia, although forecasters are predicting showers until Monday morning when the weather will be around between 10am and 4pm.

Math and trivia

  • India have won 3-2 against Australia in their T20 World Cup so far. However, they last clashed in this tournament in 2016.
  • Virat Kohli (4103) and Rohit Sharma (4073) are separated by just 30 runs at the top of India’s run-scoring leaderboard in T20Is.
  • If both are included, Agar and Arshdeep will play their 50 T20Is. Agar made his T20I debut in March 2016, while Arshdeep made his in July 2022. New Zealand’s Ish Sodhi (51) is the only player from the All-Member side to have played more T20Is than Arshdeep since his debut.
  • Australia can find a way to spin Kohli and Rohit in the powerplay even if they leave Agar out. Offspinners have bowled well for them in the powerplay so far in this world cup, with Mohammad Nabi and Mahedi Hasan going through quiet overs. Kohli has hit nine from 12 balls with offspin in the powerplay so far, and Rohit nine from eight. Glenn Maxwell, then, could be a useful option.

Quotes

“We have a lot of faith in our team. We are a very good cricket team. Yes, tonight we had an off night but I think there is something good in that in 36 hours we are going again. It is a big game, it will be against India, obviously, and it is a game to win I think if you look back at the short history of this team, I know it brings out the best in our guys, so the guys are going to get up and do it.”
Australian captain Mitchell Marshafter the conquest of Afghanistan

“In T20s, I don’t believe you need to get fifties and hundreds. How you can put pressure on the opposition is the most important thing. All the batsmen were trying to do that. That’s how we want to play and encourage. To go forward, you have to understand the conditions as well, but we have a lot of experience in the team, and we support them to use that experience on the field.”
Indian captain Rohit Sharma in the team’s way by hitting

Karthik Krishnaswamy is an assistant editor at ESPNcricinfo


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