We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring some of our favorite coverage here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations from every game to intelligently identify our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. KARL-ANTHONY TOWNS OVER 2.5 3 POINTERS MADE (+154)
Odds: +154
Probability: 58.7%
Assumptions: 3.3
Limit: 19.4%
Game: Nuggets vs Timberwolves (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bets in today’s NBA matchups. The best player bet takes place on the Nuggets vs Timberwolves, and Karl-Anthony Towns shows the value in the prop market made with 3 points. Our model has dropped Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet today. Throughout the 23/24 postseason KAT has been hitting shots from behind the arc, averaging 2.4 3-pointers made per game. With Mike Conley back steering the ship tonight on offense, KAT should get a few more open looks, and should be able to pull off 3+ threes.
Our model recommends placing a wager Karl-Anthony Towns Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made of +154 issues and attractive 19.4% limit by Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-120)
Probability: -120
Probability: 68.3%
Assumptions: 12.4
Limit: 13.8%
Game: Nuggets vs Timberwolves (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, one of the best player prop bets on today’s playoff slate happened in the Nuggets vs Timberwolves game, with Nikola Jokic showing value in the over assists prop market. Jokic averaged 9 assists per game on the season, with an average APG of 9.5 in the 23/24 postseason. Against the Timberwolves, Jokic had little trouble crossing the line, managing to put together 3/5 plays. Tonight should go the same way as Jokic is expected to collect 12.4 assists. Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends placing a wager on Jokic to go over 8.5 assists tonight against the Timberwolves.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 Total Assistswith 13.8% limit of -120 possibilities available at Fanduel Sportsbook.
3. JAMAL MURRAY OVER 5.5 Total Assists (-110)
Probability: -110
Probability: 63%
Rating: 7.9
Edge: 10.7%
Game: Nuggets vs Timberwolves (8:30PM EST)
The next best NBA prop player bet our betting bot recommends also comes in the Nuggets vs Timberwolves game, where Jamal Murray shows value in the over assists prop market.
Throughout the 23/24 season White managed to average 6.7 assists per game, our model predicted that he will average 7.9 assists in tonight’s game. Throughout last season, Murray averaged 5.9 assists in 38 minutes per game. Our model suspects that with a 7.9 rating coming into tonight’s game, and a 5.9 APG rating throughout the playoffs, we highly recommend placing a bet on Jamal Murray Over 5.5 Total Assist.
Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Jamal Murray Over 5.5 Total Assists in tonight’s game, which gives us a 10.7% limit you have -110 possibilities currently available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. ANTHONY EDWARDS OVER 6.5 Total Assists (+124)
Probability: +124
Probability: 51.6%
Rating: 6.8
Limit: 7%
Game: Nuggets vs Timberwolves (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, the best final NBA player bet tonight includes Anthony Edwards in the Nuggets vs Timberwolves matchup. Our betting bot has priced Anthony Edwards Over 6.5 Total Assists.
During the 2023/24 regular season Edwards averaged 5.1 assists per game, with a 6.0 APG average in the postseason. In his last five postseason games, he has collected 9/5/5/7/3 assists per game, respectively. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Edwards will be running the offense, driving to the net to score while moving the ball in the best scoring matchups.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Anthony Edwards Over 6.5 Total Assistswith the findings 7% limit again +124 odds at Draftkings Sportsbook.
What is the Edge in NBA Betting?
The edge occurs when Dimers.com’s prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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Renowned for its wide range of betting options, BetMGM enables users to bet on almost all aspects of major sporting events, including match results and individual player performances. In addition, it provides complete in-game betting features, allowing bettors to place bets while the action is happening, increasing excitement. For newcomers, BetMGM offers an attractive welcome bonus that allows you to quickly enter the sports betting game with a good bankroll to work with.
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DraftKings Sportsbook is available in the following states: AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, KS, KY, LA, MA, MD, MI, NJ, NY, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, and WY .
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