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NFL’s 17-Game Grind: Load Management Exposed as Untapped Edge?

NFL’s 17-Game Grind: Load Management Exposed as Untapped Edge?

The NFL’s expanded 17-game gauntlet isn’t merely a test of endurance; it’s a strategic minefield where the judicious application of ‘load management’ will separate contenders from pretenders, fundamentally altering the landscape of player availability and long-term team success. The league’s embrace of a longer schedule, initially viewed through the lens of increased revenue, has inadvertently thrust a nuanced tactical debate into the spotlight: can teams truly compete for a Super Bowl without strategically resting their stars?

The High-Stakes Calculus: Balancing Peak Performance and Player Longevity

The conventional wisdom often prioritizes maximum snap counts, yet a data-driven approach reveals diminishing returns and heightened injury risk in later weeks. Teams failing to implement intelligent load management strategies frequently see their Expected Points Added (EPA) per play plummet in the final quarter of the season, coinciding with spikes in soft

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