India, Australia, Sri Lanka and South Africa battle it out to reach World Test Championship final

Sri Lanka
Scoring percentage: 55.56, remaining series: SA (two Tests away), Aus (two at home)

With a total of 24 points earned in the last two Tests, Sri Lanka made a strong push to reach the final two in this round of the WTC. Their remaining four Tests will be against two opponents who will also enter the final. If they win each of those games and take home 48 more points (remember that undervaluation is always dangerous), they will finish at 69.23% and guarantee themselves the last place regardless of other results. If it loses one and wins three, it will end up at 61.54, which will still leave it with a chance to qualify for other results.

India
Score percentage: 74.24, remaining series: NZ (home three), Aus (home five)

If India scores less than 56, there is a good chance that it will not be in the top two. For example, if they win four and draw one (52 points), it is possible that Australia and South Africa will overtake them.

Sri Lanka can also finish with more than 67 percent, but a win will cost Australia and South Africa points. That will be in India’s favor as Australia and South Africa may end up under India.

Bangladesh
Score percentage: 34.38, remaining series: WI (two away), SA (two home)

The two defeats to India hurt Bangladesh badly – from 45.83% to 34.38. Even if they win each of the remaining four Tests, they will only climb to 56.25. Even so, it is unlikely that there will be enough space for the top two.

New Zealand
Score percentage: 37.50, remaining series: Ind (three away), Eng (three home)

Australia
Score percentage: 62.50, remaining series: Ind (five home), SL (two away)

Currently in second place at 62.5%, Australia can finish at 76.32 if they win each of the remaining seven Tests. The two teams playing the rest of the series, India and Sri Lanka, are also fighting hard for the final, so their victory will help Australia doubly. Five wins will increase their percentage to 65.79, but India and South Africa can still surpass them. Things will be clearer when they open the series against India, however, as the visitors will have completed their three Tests at home against New Zealand.

South Africa
Score percentage: 38.89, remaining series: SL (two home), Pak (two home), Ban (two away)

If South Africa win each of the remaining six Tests they will finish with 69.44%, which will be enough to qualify, as only one in India or Australia can surpass that figure. Five wins and a draw would put them at 63.89 which would still keep them in contention, while five wins and a loss would drop the percentage down to 61.11, which would still give them a chance if other results could happen.

In England
Scoring percentage: 42.19, remaining series: Pak (three runs), NZ (three runs)

Pakistan
Score percentage: 19.05, remaining series: Eng (three home), SA (two away), WI (two home)

The West Indies
Percentage: 18.52, remaining series: Ban (two home), Pak (two away)

West Indies have already played four series and have collected only 20 runs out of 108 runs. Even if it wins its last four Tests, it would finish at 43.59%.