We’re back today with NBA playoff basketball featuring the Celtics and Mavericks in the NBA Playoff Finals. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has used thousands of simulations from every game to intelligently identify our best playoff player bets for tonight’s slate.
1. KYRIE IRVING OVER 2.5 3 POINTERS MADE (+100)
Probability: +100
Probability: 60.7%
Rating: 3.6
Edge: 10.7%
Game: Mavericks vs. Celtics (8:30PM EST)
Our Basketball Forever betting bot has identified the best NBA player prop bets for one finals game. The best player bet is on Mavericks vs Celtics, with Kyrie Irving showing value in the prop market with more than 3 points. Our model dropped Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as the best player bet today. Throughout the 23/24 postseason, Irving was able to collect an average of 2.6 3-pointers per game. During the 3rd round of the playoffs, Irving managed to surpass this line in 3/5 games, accumulating 4/1/3/4/0 in his last five games. He’ll be on a comeback mission in front of the Garden’s hateful crowd, and he has to cook tonight.
Our model recommends placing a wager Kyrie Irving Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made of +100 possibilities and attractive 10.7% limit by Draftkings Sportsbook, making this our best player bet of the day.
2. LUKA DONCIC OVER 8.5 ASSISTS (-115)
Probability: -115
Probability: 60.4%
Rating: 10.3
Edge: 6.9%
Game: Mavericks vs. Celtics (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, one of the best player prop bets on today’s playoff slate occurred in the Mavericks vs Celtics game, with Luka Doncic showing a prop market value of over 100 assists. Luke averaged 9.8 assists per game in the season, with an average of 8.8 assists per game in the 23/24 postseason. With WCF against the Timberwolves, Luke averaged 8.2 assists per game. Against the Celtics during the regular season – Luke managed to tally 12 assists in 2 games and 38 minutes of playing time. Our model suspects that there will be more opportunities for Luka to cross the line, as the Celtics look to play and double him every chance, taking the ball out of his hands.
The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager Luka Doncic Over 8.5 Total Assistswith 6.9% limit of -115 possibilities available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
3. KRISTAPS PORZINGIS OVER 15.5 POINTS SCORED (-110)
Probability: -110
Probability: 59.2%
Assumptions: 20.1
Limit: 6.8%
Game: Mavericks vs. Celtics (8:30PM EST)
The next best NBA prop player bet our betting bot recommends also comes in the Mavericks vs Celtics game, Kristaps Porzingis showing value in the over points prop market.
In the entire 23/24 season Porzingis managed to score 20.1 points per game, our model predicted that he will collect 20.1 points in tonight’s game. Despite being injured in several playoff games, Porzingis is expected to return after rest. Against the Mavericks in the regular season, Porzingis averaged 24ppg. With a 20.1 rating and a 24 point average against the Mavericks, our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that Porzingis will surpass his scoring streak.
Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Kristaps Porzingis Scored Over 15.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us i 6.8% limit you have -110 possibilities currently available at BetMGM Sportsbook.
4. JAYSON TATUM OVER 2.5 3 POINTERS MADE (-122)
Probability: -122
Probability: 61.6%
Rating: 3.6
Limit: 6.6%
Game: Mavericks vs. Celtics (8:30PM EST)
According to our model, tonight’s best NBA finalist bet includes Jayson Tatum in the Mavericks vs Celtics matchup. Our betting bot has priced Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made.
During the 2023/24 season, Tatum averaged 2.1 3-pointers per game, averaging 2.8 against the Pacers in the Eastern Conference Finals. In the last four postseason games in which he has played, he has scored 3/5/1/2 in a row, beating the streak in 2/4 games. Our Basketball Forever betting bot predicts that as both Tatum and Brown run the offense, they will be able to play more pass-and-go, resulting in more shots and points scored, than Tatum’s three-point line.
Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends betting Jayson Tatum Over 2.5 3 Points Madewith the findings 6.6% limit again -122 possibilities at Draftkings Sportsbook.
What is the Edge in NBA Betting?
The edge occurs when Dimers.com’s prediction model projects the event to be higher than the best odds available through US Sportsbooks. Basically, it means that the Dimers/Basketball Forever NBA model is a project where betting has a better chance of making money than sportsbooks. That’s why the higher the edge, the better for you.
Although an edge does not guarantee a win, it is consistently a high pick on the edge of the bet it can increase your chances of becoming a profitable bet in the long run. This is an important aspect of successful sports betting.
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