What each country needs to win on the final day of the group stage

I Euro 2024 the group phase has now reached a critical period.

Although several countries have already booked their places in the knockout stages, most of the sides are still waiting for confirmation of progress to the last 16.

For some, reaching the tournaments seems straightforward, but for others it will be a grueling final day full of nerves, panic and drama. It promises to be an exciting week.

Here’s what each country needs to achieve in their final match to reach the knockout stages of Euro 2024.

In Germany: The hosts of the tournament have already booked their place in the last 16 after defeating Scotland and Hungary. They will finish tied for top regardless of the result of their last game, but beating Switzerland will mean they are top of Group A.

in Switzerland: If Switzerland manage even a point against Germany, they will be guaranteed a second place finish, and that place is guaranteed if Scotland fail to win their game. If they lose and Scotland win then second place will be decided on goal difference, but a win for Switzerland will put them top of Group A.

In Scotland: The Tartan Army really need to win their last game to progress to the last 16 and will finish Group A with four points if they beat Hungary. However, their poor goal difference makes it impossible to finish in second place. Defeat ends Scotland’s Euro 2024 tour.

Hungary: Despite losing both of their group games, Hungary still have slim hopes of reaching the knockouts. However, they can finish as one of the best third-placed teams and need to beat Scotland to have any chance of doing so.

Spain: Having won their opening two matches without conceding a goal, Spain have topped the group. Nothing can change that now.

Italy: The defending champions will finish second if they beat or draw against Croatia in their last game. However, Italy will be eliminated from the tournament if they lose to Croatia and Albania beat Spain.

In Albania: The second-bottom team in the tournament can still finish second in Group B, but needs to beat Spain and Croatia to beat Italy, and improve Croatia’s goal difference – or goals scored if goal difference is equal. Albania will not reach the Last 16 if they lose and it is unlikely that a draw will be enough.

Croatia: If Albania fails to beat Spain and Croatia beats Italy, they will finish second in Group B. However, if Croatia draws and Albania manages a point or more, or loses, they will be out of the tournament.

In England: If the Three Lions avoid losing to Slovenia and Denmark without beating Serbia, they will reach the Last 16. England top the group with a win or a draw and finish the group with a greater goal difference than the second team.

Denmark: If Denmark beat Serbia in their last game, they will reach the Last 16. They can top the group if they beat Serbia and England and draw with Slovenia – provided they have the highest goal difference. However, if Slovenia avoids losing to England and Denmark loses to Serbia, they will not be there.

Slovenia: A win will guarantee Slovenia a place in the last 16 after consecutive draws so far and they will top the group if they win and Denmark fail to beat Serbia. If Slovenia and Denmark both win, their first and second places will be determined by goal difference.

Serbia: Serbia can certainly reach the Last 16 if they beat Denmark and Slovenia do not beat England, but they will crash if they lose – or if they draw and Slovenia are unbeaten.

In the Netherlands: A win or a draw against Austria will guarantee the Dutch a place in the Last 16 and will win the group if they beat Austria and France fail to beat Poland. The Netherlands and France will be separated by goal difference and goals scored if both win their last matches.

France: A draw will be enough to ensure France’s top two finish if Austria beat or draw with the Netherlands. A win will ensure safe passage to the last 16 and they will top the group if they improve on the Netherlands’ points or goal difference.

In Austria: If Austria beat the Netherlands, they will finish in the top two. They will top the group with a win if France fail to beat Poland. If Austria draws and loses to France, they will finish third and lose to France in the opening game.

Poland: There is no way that Poland can reach the last 16 now.

In Romania: With all four teams in Group E tied on three points, Romania will secure their place in the top two by avoiding defeat to Slovakia. They will win this group if Belgium do not lose to Ukraine. In the event of a two-way tie, Romania will top the table if they score more goals in the tie than the Red Devils. They will be out of the competition with a defeat and if Ukraine avoids defeat.

In Belgium: Having put their loss to Slovakia behind them, Belgium know they will seal the qualification spot if they avoid defeat by Ukraine. However, the Red Devils can still be relegated if they lose and Romania avoid defeat.

Slovakia: Slovakia can register a top two finish with a win over Slovakia and will finish third if they draw, which would be almost enough to go through.

Ukraine: The top spot is still open to Ukraine, who claimed that position by beating Belgium and Romania failing to beat Slovakia.

In Portugal: After two wins over Czechia and Turkey, Portugal are safely through to the Last 16 and can replace and rest players in their last outing in Group F against Georgia.

garlic: Joining the Selecao will be Turkey if they avoid defeat by Czechia. However, if they lose and Georgia surprise Portugal, Arda Guler and his teammates will be out of the tournament.

Czechia: Czechia can replace Turkey with a win for second place. However, if Georgia defeats Portugal again, these countries will be ranked second and third in terms of goal difference, goals scored, discipline points and the ranking of European games.

Georgia: Georgia has the most difficult task as they have to beat Portugal. They should record a win and overhaul Czechia in the above-mentioned fixtures, but they will not reach the Last 16 if they lose or if they draw and Czechia avoid defeat.

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