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First Second Cookie Shop: July 8-14

One last set of two starters before we hit the All-Star break. Looks can be deceiving, but the options are more attractive than last week. The Sugar Cookies are an unusual group this week, seeing a mix of struggling stars, surprising youngsters, and at least one old standby I didn’t expect to see at that level again. I admit to doubting that, but Streamonator loves his matchups, and recent results give reason for optimism.

Anyway, let’s get to it.

The following are our guesses at the time of writing as to who will start two games this week, but the weather, injuries, and secret team management mean they are just that: guesses. To stay as up-to-date as possible, consult Rudy Gamble’s invaluable Streamonator.

Chocolate Chip Cookies (A Must-Start)

They are the kings of the cookie world for a reason. A warm, freshly baked chocolate chip cookie makes you feel good. Kind of like setting your plans you know you’re getting a double this week from these guys.

It’s a jar The beginning of the beginning The Second Beginning
Zack Wheeler, Phi LAD OAK
Chris Sale, Atl @ARI @SD
Logan Gilbert, Sea @SD @LAA
Zac Gallen, Ari ATL TOR

Sugar Cookies (Must Start)

They went well. You could certainly do a lot worse than having these guys on your list, but don’t expect it to be spectacular.

It’s a jar The beginning of the beginning The Second Beginning
Andrew Abbott, Cin COL MIA
Ronel Blanco, Hou MIA TEX
Shota Imanaga, ChC @BAL @STL
Frankie Montas, Cin COL MIA
Jose Quintana, NYM WSH COL
Jack Flaherty, Det CLE LAD
Christian Scott, NYM @PIT COL
Carlos Rodon, NYY @TB @BAL
Jake Irvin, Wsh @NYM @MIL
Brian Bello, Bos OAK KC
  • Streamonator has Rodon as the third best choice this week. but his latest series of debuts doesn’t inspire anything close to that confidence in me. I want to put him even lower than this, but he’s made me look like a fool before.
  • In contrast, the machine is significantly less Irvin than me. I understand why, but he’s been working all season. I’m happy to let it ride for the first two weeks.

Oatmeal Raisin Cookies (Can Start)

This is not for everyone. These are the jars that can be a happy surprise, or they can ruin your church. Step slowly.

It’s a jar The beginning of the beginning The Second Beginning
Mitch Keller, Pit NYM @CHW
Dean Kremer, Bal CHC NYY
Ryan Pepiot, TB NYY CLE
Miles Mikolas, StL @WSH CHC
Yusei Kikuchi, Sea @SF @ARI
Gavin Williams, Cle @DET @TB
Colin Rea, Mil The PIT WSH
David Festa, Min @CHW @SF
Jordan Hicks, SF TOR MIN
Keider Montero, Det CLE LAD
Charlie Morton, Atl @ARI @SD
Ben Lively, Cle @DET @TB
  • Three of Keller’s last four moves were difficult. Before that he had a 6 game hitting streak. He’s frustrated because when he’s on he’s on fire and when he’s off he’s off is turned off, and there is no rhyme or reason when it turns from one to the other. I would start him if I had him this week, but I would feel a little nervous about it. So it’s a tier.
  • Streamonator actually has Bailey Ober lined up to start the week in Minnesota, but he’s stopped by more recently than Festa. Because of that, I bet Festa is the one pulling double duty.
  • Change “Bailey Ober” to “Kenta Maeda,” “Minnesota” to “Detroit,” and “Festa” to “Montero” from the previous blurb and read it again.
  • Morton is this week’s honorable mention Brave who will get two starts if they decide to throw a random spot from someone this week. More often than not, that guy doesn’t start twice. Be prepared.

Fortune Cookies (Don’t Start)

Yes, technically cookies. Hold on, what does that little piece of paper say? “Bad times pass.” Oh. Oh well.

It’s a jar The beginning of the beginning The Second Beginning
John Gray, Tex @LAA @HOU
Davis Daniel, LAA TEX THE SEA
Mitchell Parker, Wsh STL @MIL
Trevor Rogers, Mia @HOU @CIN
Andre Pallante, StL KC CHC
Chris Flexen, ChW MIN The PIT
Joey Estes, Oak @BOS @PHI
Martin Perez, Pit @MIL @CHW
Roansy Contreras, LAA TEX THE SEA
Cal Quantrill, Col @CIN @NYM
Yilber Diaz, Ari ATL TOR
Dakota Hudson, Col @CIN @NYM
  • Rogers has been worse than good this season, although he has looked better lately. I could understand the temptation to use him this week, but I don’t recommend it.
  • Pallante is penciled in to start two games based on the Cardinals doubleheader scheduled for Saturday. But, seeing how often teams call someone to handle the duties of one of those games, this berry indeed should not be considered suitable for compression.
  • Yes, I know what Estes did in his last move. No, I don’t trust him to repeat it with those matchups.

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